モデル研究成果

発表論文の概要


Verification of carbon sink assessment: can we exclude natural sinks?

発表誌 Climatic Change, 67: 437-447.
発表年月 2004
著者 Alexandrov, G.A. and Yamagata, Y
概要 Any human-induced terrestrial sink is susceptible to the effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration, nitrogen deposition, climate variability and other natural or indirect human-induced factors. It has been suggested in climate negotiations that the effects of these factors should be excluded from estimates of carbon sequestration used to meet the emission reduction commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. This paper focuses on the methodologies for factoring out the effects of atmospheric and climate variability/change. We estimate the relative magnitude of the non-human induced effects by using two biosphere models and discuss possibilities for narrowing estimate uncertainty.

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